Tropical forests of the Americas are changing too slowly to track climate change

Autor

Aguirre-Gutiérrez, Jesús; Díaz, Sandra; Rifai, Sami W.; Corral-Rivas, Jose Javier; Nava-Miranda, Maria Guadalupe; González-M, Roy; Hurtado-M, Ana Belén; Revilla, Norma Salinas; Vilanova, Emilio; Almeida, Everton; Oliveira, Edmar Almeida; Alvarez-Davila, Esteban; Alves, Luciana F.; Andrade, Ana Cristina Segalin; Lola da Costa, Antonio Carlos; Vieira, Simone Aparecida; Aragão, Luiz; Arets, Eric; Aymard C., Gerardo A; Baccaro, Fabrício; Bakker, Yvonne Vanessa; Baker, Timothy R.; Bánki, Olaf; Baraloto, Christopher; Camargo, Plínio Barbosa; Berenguer, Erika; Blanc, Lilian; Bonal, Damien; Bongers, Frans; Bordin, Kauane Maiara; Brienen, Roel; Brown, Foster; Prestes, Nayane Cristina C. S.; Castilho, Carolina V.; Ribeiro, Sabina Cerruto; Souza, Fernanda Coelho; Comiskey, James A.; Valverde, Fernando Cornejo; Müller, Sandra Cristina; da Costa Silva, Richarlly; do Vale, Julio Daniel; Andrade Kamimura, Vitor; Oliveira Perdiz, Ricardo; del Aguila Pasquel, Jhon; Derroire, Géraldine; Di Fiore, Anthony; Disney, Mathias; Farfan-Rios, William; Fauset, Sophie; Feldpausch, Ted R.; Ramos, Rafael Flora; Llampazo, Gerardo Flores; Martins, Valéria Forni; Fortunel, Claire; Cabrera, Karina Garcia; Barroso, Jorcely Gonçalves; Hérault, Bruno; Herrera, Rafael; Honorio Coronado, Eurídice N.; Huamantupa-Chuquimaco, Isau; Pipoly, John J.; Zanini, Katia Janaina; Jiménez, Eliana; Joly, Carlos A.; Kalamandeen, Michelle; Klipel, Joice; Levesley, Aurora; Oviedo, Wilmar Lopez; Magnusson, William E.; dos Santos, Rubens Manoel; Marimon, Beatriz Schwantes; Marimon-Junior, Ben Hur; Almeida Reis, Simone Matias; Melo Cruz, Omar Aurelio; Mendoza, Abel Monteagudo; Morandi, Paulo; Muscarella, Robert; Nascimento, Henrique; Neill, David A.; Menor, Imma Oliveras; Palacios, Walter A.; Palacios-Ramos, Sonia; Pallqui Camacho, Nadir Carolina; Pardo, Guido; Pennington, R. Toby; Oliveira Pereira, Luciana; Pickavance, Georgia; Picolotto, Rayana Caroline; Pitman, Nigel C. A.; Prieto, Adriana; Quesada, Carlos; Ramírez-Angulo, Hirma; Réjou-Méchain, Maxime; Correa, Zorayda Restrepo; Reyna Huaymacari, José Manuel; Rodriguez, Carlos Reynel; Rivas-Torres, Gonzalo; Roopsind, Anand; Rudas, Agustín; Salgado Negret, Beatriz; van der Sande, Masha T.; Santana, Flávia Delgado; Maës Santos, Flavio Antonio; Bergamin, Rodrigo Scarton; Silman, Miles R.; Silva, Camila; Espejo, Javier Silva; Silveira, Marcos; Souza, Fernanda Cristina; Sullivan, Martin J. P.; Swamy, Varun; Talbot, Joey; Terborgh, John J.; van der Meer, Peter J.; van der Heijden, Geertje; van Ulft, Bert; Martinez, Rodolfo Vasquez; Vedovato, Laura; Vleminckx, Jason; Vos, Vincent Antoine; Wortel, Verginia; Zuidema, Pieter A.; Zwerts, Joeri A.; Laurance, Susan G. W.; Laurance, William F.; Chave, Jerôme; Dalling, James W.; Barlow, Jos; Poorter, Lourens; Enquist, Brian J.; ter Steege, Hans; Phillips, Oliver L.; Galbraith, David & Malhi, Yadvinder

Data de Publicação

7 de março de 2025

Resumo

Understanding the capacity of forests to adapt to climate change is of pivotal importance for conservation science, yet this is still widely unknown. This knowledge gap is particularly acute in high-biodiversity tropical forests. Here, we examined how tropical forests of the Americas have shifted community trait composition in recent decades as a response to changes in climate. Based on historical trait-climate relationships, we found that, overall, the studied functional traits show shifts of less than 8% of what would be expected given the observed changes in climate. However, the recruit assemblage shows shifts of 21% relative to climate change expectation. The most diverse forests on Earth are changing in functional trait composition but at a rate that is fundamentally insufficient to track climate change.

Citação

Aguirre-Gutiérrez J, Diaz S, Rifai S, Corral-Rivas JJ, Nava-Miranda MG, González-M R, Hurtado-M AB, Salinas N, Vilanova E, Almeida E, Oliveira E, Alvarez-Davila E, Alves LF, Andrade A, Costa L, Vieira S, Aragão L, Arets E, Aymard C. G, Baccaro F, Bakker YV, Baker T, Bánki O, Baraloto C, Camargo PB, Berenguer E, Blanc L, Bonal D, Bongers F, Bordin K, Brienen R, Brown F, Prestes NCCS, Castilho C, Ribeiro SC, Souza FC, Comiskey J, Valverde FC, Muller S, Silva R, Vale J, Kamimura V, Perdiz RO, Pasquel JA, Derroire G, Fiore AD, Disney M, Farfan-Rios W, Fauset S, Feldpausch T, Ramos RF, Llampazo GF, Martins V, Fortunel C, Garcia-Cabrera K, Barroso J, Hérault B, Herrera R, Coronado EH, Huamantupa-Chuquimaco I, Pipoly J, Zanini K, Jiménez EM, JOLY C, Kalamandeen M, Klipel J, Laurance S, Laurance W, Levesley A, Oviedo WL, Magnusson W, Santos R, Marimon B, Junior BHM, Reis SMA, Melo O, Morandi P, Muscarella R, Nascimento HM, Neill D, Oliveras I, Palacios W, Ramos SP, Camacho NP, Molina GP, Pennington RT, Pereira LO, Picolotto RC, Pitman N, Prieto A, Quesada C, Ramirez-Angulo H, Réjou-Méchain M, Restrepo-Correa Z, Huaymacari JMR, Reynel C, Rivas-Torres G, Roopsind A, Rudas A, Salgado-Negret B, Santana F, Santos F, Bergamin RS, Silman M, Silva CDJ, Javier SE, Silveira M, Souza F, Sullivan M, Swamy V, Talbot J, Terborgh J, van der Meer PJ, van der Heijden G, van der Sande M, van Ulft B, Vasquez R, Vedovato L, Vleminckx J, Vos V, Wortel V, Zuidema P, Zwerts J, Steege HT, Chave J, Dalling J, Barlow J, Poorter L, Enquist B, Phillips O, Galbraith D, Malhi Y (accepted). “Tropical forests of the Americas are changing too slowly to track climate change.” Science.

Formato .bib:

@Article{AguirreGutierreznoop3002accepted,
  author = {Jesus Aguirre-Gutiérrez and Sandra Diaz and Sami Rifai and José Javier Corral-Rivas and María Guadalupe Nava-Miranda and Roy González-M and Ana Belén Hurtado-M and Norma Salinas and Emilio Vilanova and Everton Almeida and Edmar Oliveira and Esteban Alvarez-Davila and Luciana F. Alves and Ana Andrade and Lola Costa and Simone Vieira and Luiz Aragão and Eric Arets and Gerardo {Aymard C.} and Fabricio Baccaro and Yvonne Vanessa Bakker and Timothy Baker and Olaf Bánki and Christopher Baraloto and Plnio Barbosa Camargo and Erika Berenguer and Lilian Blanc and Damien Bonal and Frans Bongers and Kauane Bordin and Roel Brienen and Foster Brown and Nayane Cristina C. S. Prestes and Carolina Castilho and Sabina Cerruto Ribeiro and Fernanda Coelho Souza and James Comiskey and Fernando Cornejo Valverde and Sandra Muller and Richarlly Silva and Julio Vale and Vitor Kamimura and Ricardo Oliveira Perdiz and Jhon Aguila Pasquel and Géraldine Derroire and Anthony Di Fiore and Mathias Disney and William Farfan-Rios and Sophie Fauset and Ted Feldpausch and Rafael Flora Ramos and Gerardo Flores Llampazo and Valeria Martins and Claire Fortunel and Karina Garcia-Cabrera and Jorcely Barroso and Bruno Hérault and Rafael Herrera and Euridice Honorio Coronado and Isau Huamantupa-Chuquimaco and John Pipoly and Kátia Zanini and Eliana M. Jiménez and Carlos JOLY and Michelle Kalamandeen and Joice Klipel and Susan Laurance and William Laurance and Aurora Levesley and Wilmar Lopez Oviedo and William Magnusson and Rubens Santos and Beatriz Marimon and Ben Hur Marimon Junior and Simone Matias Almeida Reis and Omar Melo and Paulo Morandi and Robert Muscarella and Henrique Mendonça Nascimento and David Neill and Imma Oliveras and Walter Palacios and Sonia Palacios Ramos and Nadir Pallqui Camacho and Guido Pardo Molina and R. Toby Pennington and Luciana Oliveira Pereira and Rayana Caroline Picolotto and Nigel Pitman and Adriana Prieto and Carlos Quesada and Hirma Ramirez-Angulo and Maxime Réjou-Méchain and Zorayda Restrepo-Correa and José Manuel Reyna Huaymacari and Carlos Reynel and Gonzalo Rivas-Torres and Anand Roopsind and Agustín Rudas and Beatriz Salgado-Negret and Flávia Santana and Flavio Santos and Rodrigo Scarton Bergamin and Miles Silman and Camila De Jesus Silva and Silva Espejo Javier and Marcos Silveira and Fernanda Souza and Martin Sullivan and Varun Swamy and Joey Talbot and John Terborgh and Peter J. {van der Meer} and Geertje {van der Heijden} and Masha {van der Sande} and Bert {van Ulft} and Rodolfo Vasquez and Laura Vedovato and Jason Vleminckx and Vincent Vos and Verginia Wortel and Pieter Zuidema and Joeri Zwerts and Hans Ter Steege and Jerome Chave and James Dalling and Jos Barlow and Lourens Poorter and Brian Enquist and Oliver Phillips and David Galbraith and Yadvinder Malhi},
  journal = {Science},
  title = {{Tropical forests of the Americas are changing too slowly to track climate change}},
  year = {\noop{3002}accepted},
  abstract = {esperar texto final},
  creationdate = {2025-01-08T21:00:19},
  modificationdate = {2025-01-08T21:24:13},
}